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Bitcoin futures-based ETF seems unfeasible

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  • Bitcoin Future-based product seems unfeasible in comparison to spot-based products
  • It is noted that the financial instruments have under-performed to the actual spot pair since 2018
  • BITO’s recent setback has cost investors millions

Bitcoin exchange-traded products sprang into the public markets in the United States. However, the financial instruments invest in future contracts and speculate on the asset’s future price. Although, after several years the financial regulators showed green light, investors seek exposure to a spot based product. According to a recent survey conducted by Grayscale, the majority of the investors claimed that they would invest in BTC if there is a spot-based ETF. However, the regulators are yet to approve such investment instruments.

Bitcoin future products under-performed spot pairs

The United States has witnessed its first Bitcoin Futures ETF this year. As ProShares established the instrument on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), it saw tremendous growth with more than $1 billion in assets.

However, it has been observed that the financial instruments have under-performed to the actual spot pair since 2018. According to Charlie Bilello, CEO of Compound Capital Advisors, BTC futures-based ETFs are drastically under performing as compared to the spot prices in the BTC market. Notably, the product was down by more than 19% against the spot’s 9%.

Notably, experts in the cryptosphere have considered the difference between spot performance and the ETF as a condition in which the price of an underlying asset trades at a discount as compared to the price of the same asset’s futures contract.

Regulators have cost investors millions

The US SEC chair, Gary Gensler has rejected a spot Bitcoin ETF application. According to Gensler, such products are speculative and risky for investors. Indeed, the regulator is seeking to protect the hard earned funds of inventors. However, according to experts this does not seem to be the case.

It is worth noting that on Wednesday, BITO, the product established by ProShares, had witnessed a major setback. The BTC ETF traded near $30 with a more than 11% correction. Following the scenario, Ran NeuNer, a popular CNBC host shed light on the narrative. NeuNer further underscored that this is how the SEC chair is safeguarding investors’ funds. Additionally, he noted that the product has cost investors millions, and mentioned that such products never perform as well as the underlying asset.

Charlie Bilello’s calculations were inaccurate

Bilello has been criticized on the social platform after he shared the thread regarding BITO. According to an analyst, Eric Balchunas, the data provided by Bilello was inaccurate. Notably, he underscored that the Bitcoin ETF is trailed by 2.5% monthly. Simultaneously, another Twitter user highlighted that the funds trades at approximately a 2% premium compared to the spot asset rather than 10% from the data shown by the CEO of Compound. Although the data was inaccurate, the product has been undoubtedly under-performing.

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