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Filecoin Price Breaks Multi-Year Triangle, Targets $30 Midterm Rally

  • FIL breaks $6 resistance, sets up for 400-500% rally to $30.
  • FIL trading volume surges 204%, reaching $738.77M.
  • Open interest grows by 20.47%, signaling strong market interest.
  • Binance long/short ratio hits 2.7369, reflecting bullish momentum.

Filecoin (FIL) price has broken out of a multi-year symmetrical triangle, transitioning to a bullish trend and targeting a $30 midterm rally. The breakout above $6 resistance, backed by a 204% surge in trading volume. It also saw a 20.47% rise in open interest, signals strong market confidence and momentum.

Filecoin Price Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle Signals Potential 5X Rally

Filecoin has bullishly broken out of a multi-year symmetrical triangle, which is a very strong key technical indicator that often precedes a price rally.

Following the triangle’s breakout above the resistance, FIL saw a retest of the breakout level that confirmed the rebreakout of the triangle.

It also marked a higher high, adding to the proof this asset has officially finished its long-standing downtrend.

Source: x
Source: x

With this breakout, FIL is changing trend from being bearish to bullish and thus this is a preparation for a rally towards $30 in midterm.

The symmetric triangle pattern is a consistent pattern in terms of the signals that it gives to market traders.

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Here we had a breakout above the $5.50-$6.00 range that served as a resistance zone. After the retest, FIL appeared to be gaining momentum.

Symmetrical Triangle Breakout is projected to the upside towards $30, which would indeed represent a massive 400-500 % rally from current levels.

There is considerable buying interest during the supply dump-off as well, indicating accumulation at the discount levels.

This converges with the consensus among market analyst’s that FIL is undervalued at these prices.

Futures Open Interest and Price Trend

From approximately $200M in mid-November through to January 6, data from Coinglass clearly shows the steady increase of Filecoin’s (FIL) open interest from $200M to $381M, representing an impressive growth of about 26.9%.

Source: Open Interest
Source: Open Interest

This is in line with increasing speculative activity in the futures market. At the same time, FIL’s price has risen and fallen sharply, taking it from around $5 late October up to $7.50 as early as December, only to be priced down to near $6 as of January 6.

Due to rising open interest, spiked price volatility and increasing open interest indicate a rise in trader engagement and expectations as FIL’s future price action.

Volume Surge: 244.57% Increase

Moving to the volume, we see a shocking 244.57% surge in trading volume to $881.64M.

Compared to the relatively stagnant volume of around $200M – $400M daily from August to mid-November, this is a big spike

Source: Coinglass
Source: Coinglass

In December, FIL’s price also rallied, around which the increase in trading activity took place, indicative of the influx of speculative momentum in the market.

This is due to mounting interest in FIL as traders profit from price movement and the growing liquidity of derivatives markets.

Long/Short Ratios Highlight Bullish Sentiment

Currently, Binance FIL/USDT long/short ratio is 2.8212, showing that there are more longs positions than short positions.

It shows a very bullish sentiment among market participants as traders keep expecting further upside in price.

Despite this, another key metric, the 24-hour long short ratio of 0.9489, shows that the market is more balanced in the short term, as bears have taken the lead and placed downward pressure on FIL’s price volatility.

Source: coinglass
Source: Coinglass

Total liquidations over the last 24 hours amounted to $2.95M, consisting of $1.14M for long positions and $1.81M for short positions.

Therefore, we see that shorts had a higher degree of liquidation pressure, probably due to aggressive upward price movements during this time.

While bulls are still in control, there are still bears as well that tend to short sell.

On shorter timeframes, as on the 4-hour period, $343.91K in liquidations occurred, $342.14K from longs and $1.78K from shorts.

This demonstrates that in particular trading windows, price corrections were encountered by bullish positions, which liquidated massively.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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Maxwell Mutuma
Maxwell Mutuma
Maxwell is a crypto-economic analyst and Blockchain enthusiast, passionate about helping people understand the potential of decentralized technology. I write extensively on topics such as blockchain, cryptocurrency, tokens, and more for many publications. My goal is to spread knowledge about this revolutionary technology and its implications for economic freedom and social good.