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Solana ETF Launch Unlikely Without CME Futures, Says Analyst

  • Nate Geraci questions BlackRock’s potential for a Solana ETF, requiring CME futures and a futures-based ETF first.
  • BlackRock has publicly ruled out launching a Solana ETF next year, citing no current market demand for altcoin ETFs.
  • The firm remains interested in other ETFs, such as its recent Ethereum ETF, focusing on more established assets.

An ETF analyst, Nate Geraci, has questioned the possibility of BlackRock launching a Solana ETF. Geraci added that BlackRock will only contemplate a spot ETF for Solana if combined with CME-traded futures and a futures-based ETF.

As a result of this analysis, one can refer to the recent statements made by the BlackRock representatives, who recently declined the idea of launching altcoin ETFs.

BlackRock Rules Out ETF for Solana to Next Year

BlackRock has denied any plans to launch a Solana ETF next year. The firm’s executives have publicly downplayed the concept, thus underlining no interest in altcoin-based ETFs. Cohen, the firm’s Chief Information Officer, pointed to this issue directly and explained that at the moment, the firm does not observe the market need for them.

On the other hand, BlackRock has not rejected other ETFs, including those based on already existing cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum. The company recently opened an Ethereum ETF, demonstrating its focus on digital asset products that align with its investment approach. Nevertheless, BlackRock pays attention to more developed assets than new ones or less backed-up altcoins.

Solana ETF Needs Regulatory Steps, Says Geraci

In Geraci’s view, launching a Solana ETF would require significant regulatory advancements. Thus, CME-traded futures contracts for Solana should be created to open the door for the Solana-based futures ETF. This is the scenario; only if and when the above three steps are accomplished can a spot ETF for SOL be contemplated.

This requirement implies the difficulties of launching new ETF products in cryptocurrency. It is a step-by-step process that includes the legal requirements and the market preparedness, and these two can take some time to complete. Geraci’s observations indicate that the above themes are still lacking; thus, a Solana ETF is likely far from reality.

SOL ETF Approvals Could Come Early 2025

The market is waiting to see what happens to two existing filings from 21Shares and VanEck. Each firm has sent its recommendations to the SEC, and a ruling is expected in March of the following year. As per this timeline, these filings are expected to be approved in early 2025, which affects the market perception.

The SEC’s decisions on these filings will be essential for building the basis in the cryptocurrency ETF market. If these ETFs get the green light, they could present new opportunities for investors in Solana. The market is still uncertain about Solana-related investment products’ future prospects.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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Maxwell Mutuma
Maxwell Mutuma
Maxwell is a crypto-economic analyst and Blockchain enthusiast, passionate about helping people understand the potential of decentralized technology. I write extensively on topics such as blockchain, cryptocurrency, tokens, and more for many publications. My goal is to spread knowledge about this revolutionary technology and its implications for economic freedom and social good.