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Bitcoin ETF Options Surge As Donald Trump Hints At Crypto Policy Position

  • Donald Trump’s team discussing creation of a dedicated White House position focused on cryptocurrency policy.
  • The IBIT options by strike price suggested a bet on a higher price in future for Bitcoin.
  • Will the price of BTC double in the next month following the surge in BTC ETF options volume?

President-elect Donald Trump’s team has discussed creating a new White House role dedicated to cryptocurrency policy as reported by Bloomberg.

This move aimed to streamline cryptocurrency regulations across federal agencies and improve engagement with industry players.

Donald Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance Ushers Potentially Positive Developments

The specific details about the position’s level within the White House and its exact duties were not immediately clear.

Source: X

The introduction of this role reflected a significant acknowledgement of the growing importance of cryptocurrency in the national economic strategy.

It signaled a potential shift towards more structured and perhaps more favorable crypto policies in the United States.

The announcement from Donald Trump impacted financial markets, particularly influencing cryptocurrency-related financial products.

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IBIT Options by Strike Price on Day 2

On the second day after launch, following the announcement, Bitcoin ETF options saw a surge in activity. This meant markets responded positively to the potential for more coordinated and clear regulatory approaches under the new administration.

This uptick in trading volume indicated investors’ heightened interest and confidence in the stability of cryptocurrency investments.

The IBIT options market saw substantial activity, as Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart noted. The market’s bullish stance was evident, with a vast majority of contracts wagering on a future rise in Bitcoin’s price.

The most active contracts were the $55 and $60 strike prices, attracting 69,258 and 46,365 contracts, respectively. This signaled strong expectations for higher prices.

Notably, even higher optimism was marked at the $100 strike price. 31,885 contracts showcased a significant belief in Bitcoin’s potential to nearly double.

Source: X

Conversely, the options to the left of the current IBIT price of $52.70, particularly at the $35 and $45 strike prices, were less frequented, indicating fewer bets on a price decline.

This distribution clearly demonstrated the market’s prevailing optimistic outlook towards Bitcoin, with a skew towards expecting substantial gains.

The visualization effectively mapped out where traders are positioning themselves in anticipation of Bitcoin’s price trajectory, illustrating a predominant bet on an upward trend in the cryptocurrency’s future.

Will The BTC Price Prediction Hold?

The global surge in ETF flows for 2024, as reported by Bloomberg Intelligence, revealed a potentially bullish catalyst for Bitcoin’s price.

By November, each major region, including the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Canada, had shattered their previous records in ETF investments. Particularly, the United States.

Global EFTs flow | Source: Bloomberg Intelligence

Historically, December has marked the peak for ETF investments, suggesting that the record flows observed could only be the beginning of an even larger trend.

With Bitwise ETF options already launched, and December traditionally being the strongest month for ETF investments, the likelihood of increased liquidity and investment into Bitcoin-related financial products could significantly drive up BTC prices.

This rush into ETFs, especially those related to or holding Bitcoin, could catalyze a doubling of BTC prices as Bitcoin Archived predicted following new institutional and retail money flows into the market.

Source: X

This trend aligned with the increased acceptance and integration of crypto into mainstream financial products, indicating the growing trust and interest in Bitcoin as a legitimate investment asset.

Donald Trump’s election win and his positive stance on crypto have ushered in what could possibly count as historic times for the crypto industry.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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lennox gitonga
lennox gitonga
Lennox is a professional financial market analyst who's enthusiastic about blockchain, cryptos, and web3. He started blogging about cryptos back in 2019 and has since never looked back. His work revolves around looking at crypto-projects analytically on a technical and on-chain level, while also making sure it's palatable to the general audience.