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Ethereum Apes Bitcoin, Odds of Hitting $15K By Year End?

    • Ethereum aping BTC price action of 2020-21 which suggests ETH could hit over $15K by 2026 if the pattern holds.

    • Ethereum Foundation moving 50K ETH into their DeFi Multisig wallet to participate in the DeFi ecosystem.

    • US Spot ETFs saw over $400 Million in ETH inflow last week while whales accumulated unprecedented amounts of ETH.

Ethereum price action is currently mirroring of Bitcoin’s price action from 2020 to 2021. Similar patterns led BTC to significant gains during that period.

Historically, Bitcoin saw an exponential rise from around $10,000 in late 2020 to a peak above $60,000 by mid-2021.

Ethereum’s price action since 2024 mimics this phase, with a steady increase from approximately $2,000 to current levels nearing $4,500.

If ETH continues along a similiar BTC trajectory, the projection suggests a potential to exceed $15,000 by 2026.

However, numerous factors could diverge Ethereum’s path from this predicted outcome.

The potential for reaching $15,000 hinges on maintaining current growth and market conditions.

Changes in regulatory landscapes, shifts in investor sentiment, or technological advancements within the blockchain ecosystem could significantly alter this path.

BTC/USD v ETH/USDT weekly charts | Source: Trading View

The odds of Ethereum achieving this are contingent upon sustaining buyer momentum and broader market health.

Conversely, should external pressures ETH might fall short of $15000, potentially stabilizing at lower price levels.

The likelihood of this scenario playing out is cautiously optimistic but requires vigilance due to the volatile nature of crypto markets.

Ethereum Foundation to Participate in DeFi

In other news, the Ethereum Foundation transferred 50,000 ETH, valued at approximately $132 Million, to the EF: DeFi Multisig wallet.

This action was aimed at participating in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.

The move was confirmed by multiple sources on the web, indicating a strategic shift towards engaging more actively in DeFi protocols.

EF wallet activity | Source: Lookonchain

Recently, the foundation faced criticism for selling ETH to fund operations, which some believed exerted downward pressure on ETH’s price.

By deploying these assets into DeFi, the foundation aims to generate returns instead of selling assets, potentially supporting ETH’s price stability and growth.

This step is seen as a response to community suggestions for leveraging DeFi for income rather than traditional sell-offs.

US Spot ETFs Inflow and Whale Accumulation

Moreover, Ethereum saw a significant increase in the balance of addresses holding between 10k-100k ETH from early 2021 to mid-2024.

This period coincided with the time when US Spot ETFs started to accumulate ETH, with a notable peak in accumulation around mid-2024.

The $400 Million inflow last week could contribute to this trend, pushing the balance higher, indicating strong institutional interest which often signals confidence in ETH’s future value.

This institutional buying can provide a floor for ETH’s price, reducing volatility and potentially leading to price appreciation due to increased demand.

U.S. ETH Spot ETF Net Flows | Source: Ali/X

Large holders with balances over 100k ETH showed a steady accumulation trend with less volatility compared to retail accumulation.

Their activity has been relatively stable with slight increases over time, suggesting that despite market fluctuations, whales are consistently accumulating ETH.

The unprecedented amounts of ETH being accumulated by whales could reflect in the steady upward trend of the orange line.

ETH accumulation | Source: CryptoQuant

This accumulation by whales can significantly impact ETH’s price by reducing the circulating supply, which, when coupled with increased demand from ETFs, could lead to a bullish scenario for ETH.

This dual accumulation, —ETFs and whales— reduces the available supply for other investors, often leading to price increases due to basic supply and demand economics.

Moreover, the confidence by these large players could influence market sentiment, encouraging more investment and potentially driving ETH’s price up.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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lennox gitonga
lennox gitonga
Lennox is a professional financial market analyst who's enthusiastic about blockchain, cryptos, and web3. He started blogging about cryptos back in 2019 and has since never looked back. His work revolves around looking at crypto-projects analytically on a technical and on-chain level, while also making sure it's palatable to the general audience.