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TON Coin Continues To Climb, How Far Will It Go?

  • With Pavel Durov leaving France, there is a sense of “denial” among TON holders.
  • TON coin went back above $3.00 after the surge from Durov’s news.
  • TON’s price surge broke the 4-hour 200EMA and is now retesting this new support.

Ton coin (TON) experienced a remarkable price increase after France lifted Pavel Durov’s travel restrictions, even though many investors initially denied its influence.

Pavel was restricted from moving out of France until the investigations following his involvement with co-founding Telegram and Toncoin had been completed.

However, Durov argued the two were different entities from him and he had no authority over their decisions.

Toncoin Reacts Positively to Lifting of Travel Ban

The lifting of Pavel Durov’s travel restrictions caused the cryptocurrency market to produce significant price increases within Toncoin, which reached $3.4577.

Investors showed clear signs corresponding to Wall Street Cheat Sheet’s market psychology cycle that demonstrated a fast transition from “disbelief” to “hope” then settled into “optimism” then “euphoria” after the price surge.

Ton coin price rose from their late 2024 low value of $2.00 until reaching a peak of $7.00 before a sudden decrease brought it back to $4.00, which revealed investor emotional instability.

TON holders sentiment | Source: X

Holders exhibited “denial” in their investing outlook despite Pavel being granted freedom to move.

The news also saw the new TVL peak at $3.7 Million in liquidity; the daily trading volume recorded was $3.5 Million which was up by 254%, while trading fees hit a high of $10.7K.

The chart indicated that market participants had difficulty understanding whether the current Ton coin price upswing would persist, similar to how investors act after peaks followed by major market drops.

Durov’s release, combined with psychological reactions indicated that investors are uncertain about adopting the full potential of a TON recovery due to their current denial.

The market showed constant volatility because Toncoin’s value showed responses from outside factors as well as from within its user base’s emotional state.

Will TON Price Hold Above 200EMA

For the price action of TON, it has established itself above the 4-hour 200 EMA at $3.3666. At the time of writing, TON had gained 4.17% in a day and was trading at $3.72.

A swift price climb pushed Ton coin value above $2.80 to breach the down-trending resistance in an extensive downtrend channel.

Sellers entered the market at $3.60 within the marked slanting resistance area to generate the seen rejection.

TON has the potential to establish support at $3.3666 above which could activate a move to $3.80 then potentially reach up to $4.00.

The price signal strength would grow through a successful breakout from the resistance area to continue its upward advance.

Toncoin price chart | Source: TradingView

TON coin could resume its downward move past $3.3666, leading the price towards $3.20 or potentially all the way to $3.00 if its breakout fails.

The shape of the pattern indicated an ascending wedge, which frequently results in price drops after support levels become insufficient.

TON price as of press time was consolidating within a small ascending triangle pattern, which developed resistance at its upper limit.

TON needs to hold the $3.3666 level in the upcoming sessions to validate its breakout, but failure at this point could push prices back into its established range.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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lennox gitonga
lennox gitonga
Lennox is a professional financial market analyst who's enthusiastic about blockchain, cryptos, and web3. He started blogging about cryptos back in 2019 and has since never looked back. His work revolves around looking at crypto-projects analytically on a technical and on-chain level, while also making sure it's palatable to the general audience.