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Crypto Market Braces for Volatility Ahead of Friday’s Options Expiry

  • Volatility rises in the crypto market amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and macro events.
  • Bitcoin and Ethereum prices falter ahead of the $3.7 billion options expiry on Deribit.
  • Analysts predict short-term retracement in BTC and ETH as healthy as long as the crypto assets hold above respective support levels.

The crypto market witnessed volatility rising amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and macro events. Traders are awaiting Friday’s crypto options expiry for further cues on the market direction.

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices fell more than 2% over the last 24 hours, while gold prices climbed amid renewed volatility in the global markets.

The new unilateral tariff plans from President Donald Trump also put pressure on the markets and weakened the US dollar.

$3.7B in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options to Expire

28K BTC options with a notional value of more than $3 billion are set to expire on Friday on Deribit. At the time of writing, the put-call ratio was 0.95, suggesting a slightly bearish sentiment among traders.

Notably, the max pain point is at $107,000, indicating a high chance of further retracement in BTC price. Moreover, the 24-hour call volume was higher than the 24-hour put volume. The put-call ratio was 0.88, indicating that traders still believed Bitcoin price could move higher.

Bitcoin Open Interest | Source: Deribit

In contrast, 242K ETH options with a notional value of almost $0.7 billion are set to expire, with a put-call ratio of 1.18.

Also, the max pain point was $2,700 at the time of writing. Sentiment has turned bearish for Ethereum as evidenced by the put-call ratio and max pain data.

The crypto market turned extremely bullish on Ethereum price to surpass $3000, resulting in profit booking by some investors.

The interest appeared to drop continuously, with traders having to monitor significant fluctuations in the trading volumes amid rising uncertainty.

Ethereum Open Interest | Source: Deribit

Crypto Analysts’ Prediction on Bitcoin and Ethereum

BTC price dropped 2% in the past 24 hours, with the price trading at $107,023. The 24-hour low and high were $107,407 and $110,384, respectively. Furthermore, the trading volume remained flat in the last 24 hours.

10x Research said, “Bitcoin is hovering near critical levels, and Ethereum’s rally may be running on fumes, fueled more by headlines than fundamentals.”

Analysts at 10x Research confirmed their caution about the recent Ethereum rally. While Bitcoin has broken above the $106,000 resistance level, the momentum appeared relatively weak, stated the firm.

Another top analyst noted that macroeconomic and geopolitical events have put gold in a better position against risk assets.

US vs Iran tensions escalated, triggering gold to continue to rally. Meanwhile, BTC could not break through the $110,000 area, but strong if it stays above $106,000.

Bitcoin 4-Hr Chart | Source: Michael van de Poppe on X

Trader Livercoin shared thoughts on a short term decline in Bitcoin price. He said, “Price is approaching 106K which was recently well respected as a significant area. I would like to see a bounce there and potentially reclaim 108K afterwards for push to new ATH.”

He predicted a bullish bias despite Bitcoin dropping below $106K as long as it holds above June open price. The bearish short-term bias could trigger after the June open level is reclaimed, making BTC price to fall below $100K.

Bitcoin 4-Hr Chart | Source: Livercoin on X

Meanwhile, ETH price declined 2% in the past 24 hours, with the price trading at $2,735. The 24-hour low and high were $2,733 and $2,877, respectively.

Furthermore, the trading volume decreased 5% in the last 24 hours, indicating a decline in interest among traders.

Analyst Silvercoin expected the price to hold above $2700 to stay short-term bullish. If bulls hold this level, a rally to resume towards $3000.

Ethereum 4-Hr Chart | Source: Livercoin on X

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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Varinder Singh
Varinder Singh
Varinder is a seasoned leader in the fintech and crypto media with over 10 years of experience, including over 6 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. He is known for covering high-impact and quality news stories, perfecting and training multiple journalists during his tenure. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, and tech enthusiast, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000 news articles and papers.