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Ethereum Price Won’t Rally Until This Signal Turns Green Despite Whale Accumulation

Key Insights:

  • Ethereum price trades close to $3,337 as whales add nearly $582 million in ETH.
  • Long-term holders’ net position stays negative, showing more coins are being sold than added.
  • OBV and holder data suggest ETH needs stronger buying before any real rally begins.

Ethereum price has moved little, even after big wallets bought millions worth of ETH this week. Whales are clearly interested, but the market isn’t reacting yet.

The reason is simple: other groups are still selling. Both short-term and long-term holders have reduced their holdings.

Until that changes and the main buying signal turns positive again, the Ethereum price could stay stuck near its current level.

Ethereum Whales Are Buying, but Long-Term Holders Sell

ETH price trades close to $3,337, holding steady but weak. Whales have added nearly $582 million in ETH over the past two days, which normally pushes prices up.

Data from Lookonchain reveals that the whale buyers are mostly institutions, including Bitmine. But this time, long-term holders are selling more than they’re buying.

The holder net position change, which shows if old wallets are adding or reducing their Ethereum, is still negative. It fell from -56,223 ETH to -60,606 ETH in one day.

That means more coins are moving out of long-term wallets than going in.

Ethereum Price Slips Amid Selling Pressure | Source: Glassnode
Ethereum Price Slips Amid Selling Pressure | Source: Glassnode

These holders often sell to secure profits after long runs. And when they sell into whale buying, it cancels out the demand.

That’s why the Ethereum price isn’t reacting much despite the activity. The market needs these long-term investors to start adding again for a real push upward.

Short-Term Traders Are Also Stepping Away

Short-term holders, wallets that keep ETH for a few weeks, are also cutting their exposure. A month ago, they held around 8.79% of the total Ethereum supply. Now it’s down to 7.2%.

Short-Term Cohorts Are Dumping | Source: Glassnode
Short-Term Cohorts Are Dumping | Source: Glassnode

The chart highlights the most important short-term cohort, the 1-month to 3-month group. The HODL waves metric reveals how aggressively they have been dumping.

This drop means fewer quick buyers are willing to hold through small dips. So even if whales are buying, the selling pressure from both long-term and short-term wallets keeps prices flat.

Ethereum needs wider support from holders again.

When short-term wallets start building positions, buying pressure spreads across the market instead of sitting in a few big wallets. For now, that hasn’t happened yet.

Ethereum Price Is Still Holding, but Barely

ETH price is hovering around its $3,337 support line. If that breaks, the next area to watch is near $3,049.

On the other side, Ethereum price must rise above $3,514 to show real strength and aim for the $3,910 zone.

The On-Balance Volume (OBV), which tracks whether more trading volume is buying or selling, has been dropping since September 25.

That shows less money is flowing into ETH trades. If OBV starts moving higher again, it would mean fresh buying pressure is finally returning.

Ethereum Volume Looks Weak | Source: TradingView
Ethereum Volume Looks Weak | Source: TradingView

Yet, if it breaks the descending trendline, the price structure could break down, exposing $3,000 and lower levels.

Until then, Ethereum may keep bouncing in this range. Some days stronger, some weaker — but still waiting for a clear turn.

Whales are buying, but the Ethereum price needs more support from regular holders. Until long-term sellers stop reducing and trading volume turns higher, ETH may stay quiet near $3,300.

The next rally will likely begin only when that key metric turns green.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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Rahul Nambiampurath
Rahul Nambiampurath
Rahul Nambiampurath's cryptocurrency journey began in 2014 when he stumbled upon Satoshi's Bitcoin whitepaper. With a bachelor's degree in Commerce and an MBA in Finance from Sikkim Manipal University, he was among the few who first recognized the untapped potential of decentralized technologies. Since then, he has helped DeFi platforms like Balancer and Sidus Heroes — a Web3 metaverse — as well as CEXs like Bitso (Mexico's largest) and Overbit reach new heights with his media outreach skills and digital marketing strategies. For the past eight years, he has also covered major crypto events for leading publications — including Investopedia, Crypto Briefing, FXEmpire, Crypto.news, The Defiant, and BeInCrypto — with expertise spanning DeFi, DAOs, NFTs, and everything decentralized.