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Is XRP Price Gearing Up for Another 10% Crash? Here’s What History Suggests

Key insights

  • XRP price crash data show the token lost 10% on average across five selected Decembers.
  • Egrag Crypto identified $0.75 to $0.85 as a major macro support range.
  • Ali Martinez projected a possible move to $0.80 after a confirmed break below $0.99.

XRP price crash history showed five previous November selloffs followed by December losses averaging 10.42%. Analyst Egrag Crypto published the comparison on Nov. 15 as XRP traded below $1.

The analyst also reported that XRP had lost 26.9% during November. That intra-month decline exceeded each November loss in his selected historical sample.

However, the historical comparison does not establish how XRP will perform in December 2026. Separate technical analyses from Egrag and Ali Martinez identified potential support between $0.75 and $0.85.

XRP Price Crash History Shows Five Negative Decembers

CoinGecko’s snapshot showed the XRP price at $0.9647, below Martinez’s $0.99 level. However, the snapshot alone does not establish whether his confirmed-break condition was met.

xrp price chart
XRP Price Crash Update Credit: CoinGecko

Over 24 hours, XRP price crash left the token 2.9% below its daily high and traded between $0.8942 and $0.9974. The chart shows a drop from near $1 to below $0.90, followed by a recovery toward $0.98.

The token subsequently pulled back toward $0.96. At its quoted price, it stood approximately 7.9% above the daily low.

On the upside, the rebound stalled around $0.97 to $0.98. A move above that area could bring the daily high into focus. On the downside, $0.945 to $0.95 and the daily low are levels to watch for the Ripple-linked crypto.

XRP Price Crash History Shows Five December Declines

According to Egrag’s review, XRP’s five worst completed Novembers occurred in 2019, 2018, 2016, 2025, and 2022.

In 2016, XRP price crash left it down 18.3% in November before losing 3.2% in December. Two years later, it declined 19.2% in November and another 2.7% the following month.

The 2019 figures showed a 23.6% November decline, followed by a 14.8% December loss. In 2022, the respective monthly losses reached 12.2% and 16.9%. For 2025, the figures were 14.1% and 14.5%.

Across the sample, December’s percentage losses exceeded November’s in 2022 and 2025. The other three years recorded smaller declines in December. Among the five December results, 2022 showed the largest percentage loss and 2018 the smallest.

Those results produced a zero percent December win rate within Egrag’s selected five-year sample. His November 2026 figure exceeded each completed November decline in the comparison, though the current month remained underway.

Egrag said the pattern favored a negative December but acknowledged that a relief rally was also possible. However, five observations provide a limited sample, and historical performance does not guarantee future results.

Egrag Crypto Identifies a Lower XRP Price Support Range

Alongside the historical returns, Egrag examined XRP price levels across the current setup and two earlier market cycles. In a separate analysis, he identified $0.75 to $0.85 as a major macro support range.

The analyst raised the possibility of a sharp downside wick before a potential reversal. His chart comparison tracked three descending trendlines across the different cycles.

In the first cycle, XRP price rose and retested its 21-period exponential moving average, according to Egrag. The analyst said a sharp downside wick followed before the price entered a bullish expansion.

The range he identified also contains a separate level highlighted by Martinez.

XRP Price Trades Below Ali Martinez’s $0.99 Level

Separately, on Nov. 13, Ali Martinez flagged a breakdown risk after the Ripple-linked token rejected resistance near $1.55. Martinez, who posts as Ali Charts on X, said the token remained within a descending structure.

He identified $0.99 as the last major support before a deeper liquidity gap. If XRP confirmed a break below that level, the analyst projected a possible decline toward $0.80.

This article provides general market information, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency prices are volatile, and investors can lose capital. Consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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Glory Kaburu
Glory Kaburu
Glory Kaburu is a crypto journalist with nearly six years of experience covering blockchain, digital assets, market analysis, price predictions, and Web3 news. Her work has appeared across Cryptopolitan, Crypto News Flash, ETHNews, CoinGape, and The Coin Republic. She holds a Bachelor of Education in English Literature and Linguistics from the University of Nairobi, supporting her strong research skills, industry knowledge, and careful reporting on topics that can influence readers’ financial decisions.