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How and When Will Bitcoin Price be Safe From More Downside?

  • Bitcoin sentiment remains in extreme fear as stock market investors suffer losses.
  • Comparing BTC’s correlation with the stock market.
  • Will the latest recovery above $90,000 be sustained as almost $900 Million worth of BTC moved out of exchanges in the last 7 days?

Bitcoin (BTC) price may have recovered after a period of intense volatility in the last 7 days but price still saw downside osciallating at $87,000.

However, the market is still in a state of uncertainty, especially as economic conditions, fuel skepticism about its ability to recover in the short term.

Bitcoin had a $87,246 press time price indicating bearish pressure. This underscores slight improvements as far as market sentiment is concerned and this was perfectly captured in the Fear and Greed index.

Bitcoin fear and greed index/ Source: Alternative.me
Bitcoin fear and greed index/ Source: Alternative.me

Market sentiment dipped as low as 10 a week ago but it has since recovered to 25 at the time of observation. However, it was still in extreme fear territory, indicating that it may not be out of the woods yet.

Bitcoin Price May Feel Stock Market Woes

Although in last 2 day Bitcoin price achieved some recovery above $90,000, the threat of more potential downside could push prices lower.

A major potential reason why investors are still fearful is the fact that the stock market has recently been in turmoil as prices crashed.

So, why would the crypto market be worried about the stock market crashing? Bitcoin has demonstrated significant correlation with the S&P500 over the last few years. It remains to be the case as per recent observations.

Bitcoin and S&P500/ Source: TradingView
Bitcoin and S&P500/ Source: TradingView

The S&P500 (pink line) fell from 6,144 on 19 February and has since dipped to 5,722 as of March 6th. The rising concerns about pesky inflation and a potential recession have forced investors to take on a cautious approach.

Those concerns extend to Bitcoin price on account of the correlation with the stock market. This suggests that appetite for cryptocurrencies could remain subdued at least until the bearish sentiment cools down.

BTC Price’s Long Term Prospects Remain Bullish

While BTC’s short term prospects appear shrouded in uncertainty, things may be a bit clearer as far as long term prospects are concerned.

The recent dip attracted a significant amount of accumulation, confirming that investors have been taking advantage by buying at lower prices.

IntoTheBlock data recently revealed that roughly $900 Million worth of BTC was moved from exchanges in the last 7 days. A sign that there is optimism that sell pressure may not push BTC much lower.

Source: IntoTheBlock/X
Source: IntoTheBlock/X

A possible reason for the optimism about Bitcoin’s limited downside is the fact that multiple countries are slated to start buying Bitcoin soon. This includes the U.S as it aims to build a robust crypto reserve.

Numerous other countries are on track to follow a similar path. The list continues to grow with every passing week.

This week Brazil just confirmed a 10% cash allocation for purchasing Bitcoin courtesy of the newly approved treasury strategy.

Based on the polarizing market events, investors should anticipate short term volatility. Bitcoin price may take a while before getting back to extreme greed territory if market events and outcomes perpetuate uncertainty.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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Michael Gachihi Nderitu
Michael Gachihi Nderitu
A passionate writer/blockchain analyst with over 5 years of experience at the blockchain and crypto frontline. Michael also likes to keep a close watch on developments on the bleeding edge of technology, with keen attention on global economics and geopolitics.