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Ethereum Price Prediction: Bullish Or Bearish? Expert Analysis

Key Insights

  • Ethereum exchange outflows surge to levels last seen in September 2023.
  • ETH whales position themselves to leverage potential upside with over $3 billion in long positions on Binance.
  • ETH records healthy net inflows despite the recent dip.

Ethereum news is abuzz with anticipation about ETH price. Is it headed for more downside, or will it bounce back, especially after encountering a short-term resistance zone?

Sentiment deterioration over the last few days has resulted in higher uncertainty, but recent observations may offer some insights.

The Ethereum price may be preparing for some recovery as per exchange flow data.

According to Cryptoquant, total ETH netflows registered a spike in their 30-day simple moving average (SMA).

It jumped to levels last seen in September 2023, signaling that investors were moving their funds into self-custody wallets.

However, this did not reflect on the Ethereum price chart just yet. Nevertheless, the surge in ETH exchange outflows was noteworthy, and it occurred at a significant level.

Ethereum (ETH) price dipped during the weekend, resulting in a short-term support retest just below $4,100.

ETH price/ source: TradingView

Whether ETH price will bounce back from its current level depends on the level of demand that will manifest within the support zone.

Whale Activity Signals Ethereum (ETH) Price Bullish Confidence

Large order book data revealed that whales were limiting their exposure on the spot market while doing the opposite in the derivatives segment.

For context, whales sold $4.39 million worth of ETH on Binance spot in the last 2 days. Meanwhile, Binance whales executed over $3 billion worth of long positions.

OKX whales also demonstrated a similar observation, with spot outflows amounting to just over $6 million, and over $662 million worth of longs.

This observation signaled that whales contributed to the recent sell-off, but they also expected to benefit in case of an upside.

Interestingly, spot outflows have been cooling down, reflecting the recent sell pressure cool down.

ETH spot flows/ source: Coinglass

Although the declining spot outflows may signal that the bears were running out of momentum, the market outcome reflects the extent of damage.

Open interest at the time of observation was just over $54.7 billion, which was down by over $8 billion from last week’s high.

The cooling open interest was likely because investors were spoofed by the recent crash.

ETH long liquidations on Monday peaked above $490 million, which was the highest daily liquidation observed in more than 5 months.

ETH liquidations/ source: Coinglass

These observations underscored the potential for a bullish pivot if demand makes a solid comeback.

However, weak demand may pave the way for more capitulation. However, there is one key area that could point towards where the price bias may fall.

Ethereum Netflows Surge to the Highest Weekly Levels in History

DeFiLlama data revealed that weekly Ethereum net inflows just surged to $3.24 billion. This marked the highest recorded weekly inflows in history.

Moreover, this latest spike occurred within the last 3 days, since Monday.

Ethereum net inflows/ source: DeFiLlama

Zooming in on the net inflows revealed a massive spike on Tuesday, during which inflows surged by $2.7 billion. This was the highest daily net inflow observed in a single day.

Such a massive spike in net inflows meant that more liquidity was flowing into the Ethereum network. An outcome that is more linked to investor confidence rather than deteriorating sentiment.

Moreover, this occurred while the market was in fear territory, where demand is more likely to recover.

Whether this observation will pave the way for a strong bounce back remains to be seen, especially since Ethereum ETF flows remained negative in the first half of the week.

Disclaimer

The contents of this page are intended for general informational purposes and do not constitute financial, investment, or any other form of advice. Investing in or trading crypto assets carries the risk of financial loss. The forecasted data (also called “price prediction”) on this page are subject to change without notice and are not guaranteed to be accurate.

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Michael Gachihi Nderitu
Michael Gachihi Nderitu
A passionate writer/blockchain analyst with over 5 years of experience at the blockchain and crypto frontline. Michael also likes to keep a close watch on developments on the bleeding edge of technology, with keen attention on global economics and geopolitics.