Key Insights
- Coinbase Bitcoin Price Premium Index has remained negative for a record 50 consecutive days since May 19.
- The trend points to weaker buying activity from United States investors on Coinbase.
- Some analysts still believe Bitcoin is holding near a key long-term support level.
Bitcoin price faced a mixed market setup after the Coinbase Premium Index stayed negative for 50 consecutive days. The streak marked the longest negative run in available tracking history.
The indicator pointed to weaker relative demand on Coinbase, while separate long-term models highlighted support near Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average. The two signals left traders weighing weak venue demand against a historically watched technical level.
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index Hits 50-Day Record
The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has entered its longest negative streak since its launch, raising fresh questions about demand for BTC in the United States. Data from Coinglass, shared by Wu Blockchain, shows the index has remained below zero for 50 consecutive days since May 19.
The latest reading was -0.0742%. That is now the longest negative run on record for the indicator. The previous record lasted 40 days, from January 16 to February 24 this year. It also lasted longer than the roughly 30-day negative period seen during the market drop known among traders as the “1011 crash.”
The index compares the price of BTC crypto on Coinbase with Bitcoin prices on other major exchanges. When it is above zero, it usually means buyers on Coinbase are paying more than traders on other exchanges. When it falls below zero, it often indicates weaker demand on Coinbase.
Many large investors and institutions in the United States use Coinbase. Because of that, traders pay close attention to the index. A long period below zero can suggest that those buyers are staying on the sidelines or are not buying enough to push Bitcoin price higher.
The current reading does not mean Bitcoin must keep falling. Still, it shows that buying pressure has remained soft for several weeks. That has made it harder for the market to build a strong recovery. For now, many traders will keep watching the index to see if it turns positive again. A move back above zero could point to stronger demand returning to the market.
Bitcoin Price Analysts Keep Their Eyes On The Bigger Picture
Even with the weak reading from the premium index, some analysts believe it is too early to say that Bitcoin price has reached the end of its current market cycle. Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani said Bitcoin has dropped about 54% from its October 2025 high of around $125,000.
He noted that this decline is still much smaller than the losses seen in past bear markets, where Bitcoin fell between 75% and 90% before finding a bottom. Bernstein has kept its year-end price target of $150,000. The firm said it will continue watching capital flows for signs that money is returning to the market. Those comments show that some market watchers still expect better conditions if investor demand starts to improve.
200-Week Moving Average Draws Attention
Market analyst PlanB also pointed to another signal after Bitcoin touched its 200-week moving average again. He said nobody knows if this is the final bottom. Even so, he noted that Bitcoin has reached this level during past market declines before moving higher over time.
PlanB shared earlier examples of BTC climbing from about $250 to $4,000, from $4,000 to $20,000, and later from around $20,000 to $60,000 after touching the same moving average. His comments are based on what happened in earlier cycles and should not be taken as a guarantee that the same move will happen again.
At the moment, the market is showing two different signals. The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index continues to reflect weak buying on Coinbase, while some long-term analysts believe the Bitcoin price is trading near a level that has supported the price in the past. The next few weeks may give a clearer picture of which direction the market will take.
